Revising HIV Estimates and Projection: Implications of the National Sexual Behavior Survey

This paper will explore that proposition and discuss the future of the Thai epidemic by presenting revised HIV projections that incorporate new data on changes in sexual behaviors among heterosexual men and women in Thailand collected from The National Sexual Behavior Survey of Thailand 2006 (NSBS 2006). This new projection will also take into account expected changes in risk behaviors in both commercial and casual sex from 2007 until 2020. This revised scenario will then be compared to the current national HIV projection to illustrate the impact that heterosexual behavior changes are likely to have on the epidemic.